The immediate result of the Brexit has been an economic and political fallout which has sent shudders down the spine of the European and global markets. The paroxysms of the sudden exit strategy whilst not entirely unexpected was not necessarily a certainty. Militarily, however the Brexit decision has been a godsend for the Russians, and the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO).
What has been certain with the exit strategy has been the sudden realisation of the change of attitude by most conservative and reactionary societies such as the United Kingdom with the acutely anti-immigration and anti-multiculturalism attitude, and a rise of neo-fascist, ultra right wing, reactionary attitudes by the British people.
In a global context, this has come as a bit of a surprise, bearing in mind, the general acceptance, within a progressively dynamic digital age, of globalisation and liberalisation attitudes towards most things cosmopolitanism and multicultural. Instead, the reaction from the British people, has been counter-intuitive, and regressive.
What seems infantile, in many respects, was the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) ideological narrative, for a British economic Autarky. An autarky that would also rely upon a British past that had long ago disappeared since world war two. Such a decision by the British to exit the European Union and harping back to its past grandeur of British Imperial interdependence is considered as pre-Orwellian and regressive. The British Empire, up until world war two, was self sustaining, and flourishing, with half a millennium of the Pax Britannia, which now, with the Brexit decision, incredulously, has now being revisited with the hastened exit from the European Union. Alas, such delusions were realised by the British voters who had decided to exit the European Union and with it came with them the delusional expectations for a more prosperous utilitarian future. Such a utilitarian future would be dependent upon traditional trading partners with Commonwealth nations.
However, aside from the Orwellian perspective, the Brexit decision has been considered by the Continental Europeans, and no doubt, by the rest of the Western World, to be a Hobbesian decision and the European Union Leviathan has one less partner within the European family fold. What is even more precarious is the domino effect and affect of the Brexit spreading to Italy, Greece, and the Netherlands.
The Pax Britannia and the British Commonwealth Autarky.
The economic vision of an independent United Kingdom would be based upon a unilateral trade free cooperation with unilateral trading partners within Continental European.. More importantly, as far as Australia and New Zealand is concerned, at the same time, securing their Commonwealth member sovereign national ties with traditional Anglo-Celtic colonies, with Canada, Australia, and New Zealand.
Military and Security.
Northern Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the Organization for the security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE)
In the meantime, militarily, whilst the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is unaffected by the decision, the psychological impact for NATO, has been immense, with the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) member nations, frothing at the bit, at viewing the potential fragmentation of the European Union (EU). With the apparent British standoffish attitude, as a fallout with Brexit decision which has impacted on military and security co-operation with NATO and OSCE partners.With Brexit, this has created a psychological wedge between NATO and the Organization for the Security and Co-operation (OSCE) members within Europe, and elsewhere.
The Russian response to the Brexit decision has been overwhelmingly positive, however, this is based purely on a divide and conquer perspective, rather than for a global military, national, and global, security perspective. The impact on regional stability within the European continent, whilst this may not impact directly upon the military exercises within Lithuania, Poland, and Latvia, with respective NATO forces conducting military exercises with NATO partners, the CSTO have welcomed Brexit for its divisive influence within NATO and the OSCE.
Tim Tufuga
27th June, 2016.
References:
1.Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, http://www.osce.org/states
2.North Atlantic Treaty Organzation, http://www.nato.int/
3.Collective Security Treaty Organization, http://odkb-csto.org/
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